
Izindlela zokumiswa kuyizinhla enguqu-enguqu kakhulu kubasebenzisi basezimali. Kuzinye izindawo, izindleko zokuphakama kuya kuye ku-$0.38 ngokuvungi kwesikhwama esiqinile. Uma umoya ususa amandla, izinkampani zihlala ziphazanyiswa ngama-$740,000 yonke ihora ngokwesicelo sikaPonemon Institute wokwenzelwa kweminyaka engu-2023. Lokhu kusiza ukuthi kube khona abaningi abayisebenzisa imvume yokudonsa ngenhla nangenhla. Lezi sistimi zingasebenza phakathi kwe-60 ne-80 iphesenti yezikhwama ezilandelwayo ngosuku ukuze zisetshenziswe ekugcineni kwemini lapho imisebenzi isebenza kahle. Lokhu kusiza ekukhuliseni lezi zindlela ezithintekayo zokunqoba ngaphezu kwegumbi emibili kunezinye izimo. Ngaphezu koko, uma kukhona indaba ngokushedwa, lezi sistimi zishintshe phansi ngaphansi kwezimbili, zivikela konke kusebenza kahle nakuba kungekho ukumiswa okungafanelekile. Kumaqembu afuna ukunciphisa izindleko ngemuva kokugcina imisebenzi yabo, lo msebensi unakekela kakhulu.
Manqoba okugcina amandla e-bhatereyi kusasa kusebenza ngendlela ethile njengamashok abesekhetha kumsebenzi omkhulu wasebhungu. Kunceda ukulungisa izinguquko zomthamo angahleli futhi kugcine izinto ezisebenzayo ngaphakathi kwe-1% yezinkinga zokuthembeka, noma kube khona amawula afika ngokuphakama futhi acindezele umlilo wesiliva esivela emaceleni. Sebenzisa isibonelo sokutheni kwakhiwe kuhlabathi lwemoto eTexas ngoHlobo lalilikhulu. Isimo sebhatereyi sabo sekunqa noma siphazanyishe ngemizuzwana engu-10 kuphela. Lokhu kwalandela ku-99.98 phofithi yokusebenza konke ukuhlanjulwa kuka-2023. Uma sibheka lokhu ngendlela efanelekileyo, lokhu kuyisilinganiso esingaphezu kuka-23 okusheshayo kunalo akutholwa ngamakhampini anengi ngamageneretha e-diesel asemva. Ngakho manqoba ephuthelene ngokushesha ayebhatereyi ayehlaza kakhulu uma kufanele kugcinwe amandla ahlanjulwe ne-ahlukile, ikakhulukazi lapho imizuzu yonke ihlaza kakhulu emisebenzini embulunga.
Isikolekethi sikhulu kakhulu se-200,000 sq ft esedwesheni leHouston sesenza inkomba yezinto zokwenza i-5 MW engaqondene nothutho lwesilikonu olukhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakhulu kakh......
| METRIC | Ngaphambi kokuqeqeshwa | Ngemva kokuqeqeshwa |
|---|---|---|
| Ukuphenduka kwegridi | 92% | 34% |
| Izindleko zokukhokha ukubiza | $48k/meyili | $28k/ngonyaka |
| Ukusabalalisa isimo sokuphazanywa | amahora angu-8.7 | imizuzu engu-22 |
Isimo sabelwe ngeminyaka engu-5.2 ngokuthuthukisa indlela kaERCOT futhi nge-amakhadi wotaxi wezeNtongo, ngelikhashini elikhulu kakhulu ekuvuseleni kwizinkinga ezihlukahlukene zezinkanyezi.
Okudingekayo ukulungiselela okuningi:
Manje izinhlelo ezigcwele zokubuka zinikeza indlela epholile yokuthinta phakathi kwezinzo ze-solar, izinhlelo zokuphatha izibhamu, nezilawuli ezandulelayo ngapha kwezinhlelo ye-Modbus-TCP, zenza ukusebenza kuhlengahlenga futhi kuvuze indlela yokusebenza kwesiprojekthi.
Izithuthuthu ezigcwele ezinezibhamu ezingama-1.2 MWh zivumela ukuthuthuka okusheshayo kwezimali, njengoba kachazwe yiDallas logistics hub ethole i-20 yalezi ngaphezu kwezinyanga ezingu-14 ukuthuthukisa isiprojekthi se-solar. Le ndlela eyodwa ivimba izindleko zokufaka uphawu nge-40% ekulinganisa nozindlu ezikwethulwayo zezibhamu (Navigant Research 2024), futhi inikeza ukufakwa okujikelezayo nezidingo zokuhamba phakathi kwezindawo.
Izibhamu ze-lithium-ion zenzela 83% yezenzo zokugcina kwe-solar eziphethwe ngoba zenziwa ngokuphelele kwegugu (150—200 Wh/kg) nokusebenza okuphelele kuka-90—95%. Zigcina imvuselelo ye-solar engaphezu kuka-30—40% ngasinye isiqingatha kunazo ezifanayo ezenziwe nge-lead-acid futhi zilindelela izikhathi zokulayisha ezingaphezu kuka-5,000—kodwa kuyizidingo ezide emsulweni wokulayisha nokususa kuzindawo eziphilosayo.
Ukuhlaziywa kohlelo kuqala kubonisa izinkinga ze-lithium-ion kunazo izintonga ezigcwele:
| METRIC | Lithium-ion | Lead-Acid |
|---|---|---|
| Isikhathi sokuphila | 2,000—5,000 | 300—500 |
| Ukusebenza kahle | 90—95% | 60—80% |
| Ukujula Kokukhishwa | 80—100% | 50% |
Le mininingwane yenza ukuthi indawo yesistimu ibe yizinga eliphansi ngama-60% futhi ikhulise ukuthintana nokuthintana kwamandla esihlangu, ekusizeni ukuthunyelwa okuphathelene nezindlela eziyintsha zokukhupha kwe-solar.
Isistemu ye-lithium-ion engu-12 MWh ehub ekhethini laseNingizimu California isusela izindlelko zokuthenga eziyisikhombisa-220,000/ngonyaka ngokugcina imodi yesimilo yasendzini kaphakathi kwehhora. Ngaphezu kwezinyanga ezingu-18, le sistemu yayiqukethe ubusebenzisayo ku-92.4% futhi ibuyeke izidingo kumgangatho ngu-85%, ikhombisa iziphumo ezinhle zomnotho nezobugcisa ngaphansi kwezimo ezingavamile kuzindleko.
Izibhamu eziyadala ze-lithium ze-solid-state ziyinsiza ukuba zibe nengxenye engaphezulu kuka-40% kanye nokulahleka okusheshayo kuka-80% kunalezo zakamuva. Izinhlobo zokuqala zibonisa izigaba ezingu-10,000 zange zifeli ngokuhlukunyezwa kwesitshixo—lokhu kubalulekile kakhulu emazingeni aphathelene nokuhlupheka. Nakuba isabelo sezimali sikhathazekwa emva kwe-2030, lezi zibhamu zibonakala njengenkulumo yokuguquka kwizinqumo ezinezinhlobo ezihluphekile kanye nezide empilweni.
Ukubamba okuphumelelayo kwezinkalipho (ukugcina kuma-15—35°C) nokunikezela izibonelo zokuchaza ngokuvuselela kuzoba kude kakhulu isikhathi lika-lithium-ion ngezinsuku ezingu-3—5 ezenzekeleni zasendzaweni. Izifakazi ezisebenzisa izixhumanisi zeziphumela ngaphambi kweziphumela zicinga i-ROI engaphezulu kuka-22%, ngenkathi inkululeko yezigaba ibekwa phansi kuka-0.5% ngonyaka, ihlinza ukusebenza kahle nokuthembeka kwamanje.
Izinhlelo zasendzaweni zasendzaweni zihlengahlenga izisombululo zokugcina ezingcono kune-lithium-ion ebonakaleni, ekhuselekeni, nezobudlelwane obude. Njengoba i-lithium-ion iphazanyiswa izinkinga ezikhiqizwayo, ukwenzakala kwezinkalipho, nakho kunazo izici zokwakha izinto, izitekitholo ezingenelela ziyahlangana ngemiphumela esithandwa ngempilo yesimo sezindawo zasendzaweni.
Ibhatere ngalithiyamhi-ion ibhala ukungabi nesikhathi kusukuwa 15—20% emva kokusebenza kusukuwa 800 futhi iba nemiphumela engcono kakhulu kumandla okuphelele (50°F—95°F). Amathreatening echaini yezimali angakwenzela ukuthi izindleko zelithiyamhi carbonate zakhwe ngama-35% ngo-2030 (BloombergNEF 2024), ngelapho ukusetshenziswa kakhulu okukhulu kune-10 MWh kunezimali ezihlukene ngokomlando nakuba kukhona amandla okulindile.
Ibhata eflow yenkohlaka yevanadium (VRFBs) inikeza isikhathi esiphelele sokusebenza ngokuthi kususwa i-electrolytes eliqukethe, lokhu kuyakwaziqa ukusebenzisa phakathi kwe-8—24 ihora. Isifundazwe saseTexas sobekile 94% yokusebenza kwisikhathi esigcwele nge-2.5 MWh VRFB system, ethula ukusetshenziswa kwebhensini yesikhwama ngama-80%, futhi ibonise ukuthi kungcono ukusebenza ngaphandle kwegridi.
| METRIC | Lithium-ion | Ibhata eflow |
|---|---|---|
| Umbono wokusetyenziswa | 150—200 Wh/kg | 15—25 Wh/kg |
| Usuku lwesibophelelo | 5—10 izinyanga | 20—30 izinyanga |
| Ukwehla | Ukudityaniswa okujikelezayo | Ukuphakanyiswa kweghabi lenqolobane |
| Iindleko Zokuthiqa (2024) | $450/kWh | $600/kWh |
Njengoba i-lithium-ion isebenza kahle ekunciniseni nokwenza imali kuqala, i-flow batteries zisebenza kahle kakhulu ekubeni ngemva kwalapho nezintandokazi ezide kumaqondo amanxele.
Ukugcina i-hydrogen egcinwe kungasiza ukugcina amandla ngokuphakade, okwaziwa ukuthi kusebenza kahle ngokubonakala kumahluko. Kukhona amaprojekthi akhethekile aqeda ukufinyelela kwezindima eziphakathi kwe-60 phesenti xa kushintshwa izulu ku-hydrogen bese kubuyiselwa kabusha emva. Kunakho futhi ukugcina kwesithunzi esinamandla sokuthinta apho isithunzi sinamathegekile ezingaphezu kuka-1050 nge-Fahrenheit ngaphezu kwezikhathi ezingu-18 ngokuqondene. Lokhu kusizo ekugcineni kakhulu kubizinesi abadinga ukuhlakanipha kwezithunzi ngokuphakade kuzindlela zabo. Enye indlela ethuthile yisifundo esisekelwe ku-gravity apho amabhloko ambibilini angama-30 ayasetshenziswa. Lezi zingasebenzisa izindleko zokugcina ngezansi kwezimali ezingu-100 ngalokho lwe-kilowatt ngemva kwezinhla ezithile eNingizimu Afrika. Kuzindawo eziphathelene nezimo zezwe, lokhu kungaba yisohlwayo esisha kodwa futhi ingaba yinto eyenzileyo yokuba ukugcina kwezulu kude kube yimfihlakalo nokusebenzisa kakhokho.
Imisebenzi yezindawo ezenziwayo ihlangana nokusebenzisa ukugcinwa kwesolari kuyinxenye ukuze kuthunyelwe inxenye yamandla kumthetho wokuthutha okuguquguqukayo. Le zinhlelo ezingavuthi kakhulu zivumela ukongeza okuphansi kwezimali, ukuzivikela kokuqukatha ngaphambi kokuba kukhona inkonzo futhi kuvikele imiphakathi yonke indawo yokuthutha.
Izibonakude ezinezinhlelo zekhono zivumela ukulungiswa kwezinxenye ezingu-50 kWh kuze kube ngu-1 MWh, ukufakelana kwamandla kumzanyo oshintsha. Umvavanyo wasekuhlandleni wa-2023 uwona ukuthi izindawo ezisebenzisa le zinhlelo zifinyelela ku-ROI ngokushesha kuka-17% ngokuhlukaniswa kwezikhathi. Izixhumanisi ezizenzakalelayo zivumela ukudibanisa kahle kwezinxenye ezinzima, ngelikahe izixhumanisi eziphakeme zihlinzela ukusebenza okungakhohlwa ngenkathi kuhlelwa.
Umsebenzisi wezemfundo eTexas usebenzisa i-2.4 MW yesilari ngesicelo sokugcinwa kwe-lithium-ion esinezinhlelo zikhiye, ufika ku:
| METRIC | Ngaphambi Kokulungiswa | Emva Kokusetyenziswa |
|---|---|---|
| Ukuphila Kwamandla | 12% | 40% |
| Izindleko Zokuthenga Kweqiniso | $28,500/ngonyaka | $19,900/ngonyaka |
| Ukungena Kwesayithem | Ubukhulu obugcwele | +25% ukunciphisa ngonyaka |
Leli ndlela yohlelo lowenza kube lula ukulungiselela kwiindawo ezintsha zokuzenzela kanye nezidingo zokugcwalisa ngaphansi kwangaphakade ngaphandle kokulungiswa okukhulu.
Iingxaki ezihlelweyo zebhatereyi zazikweza ixesha lokufakwa ngama-60% kunokufakwa okudide. Iimbono eziphambili kuzo zifana:
Indawo yokwenza amakhari eMidwest ayikhangele i-$740k ekugcineni kwebhase yentolongwane ngokubeka khona iinekinobhloko ezine ezingxakini ngokuhlelekileyo ebusika benjongo lakhiwo elizalisayo.
Abasebenzisi abakhuselekile kuleli xesha bakhula inkonzo eyongeziwe kwiintsolobalo zabo ze-solar storage, ngokuvamile ngaphezu kuka-20%, ukuba kufanele kube khona inkxalabo ephakeme ngendlela engafaniyo. Iingcamango ezintsha zomlawulo wemithombo yekhono zifaka iindlela zomfundo we-machine learning eza kubala xa kuya kuguqulwa izililo. Ngokwamacandelo wasebenzisweni otholakeleyo ngo-2023, le mbono ifika phakathi kwe-89% yesimiso, nokuba iimpendulo ezinjalo ziyahlukahluka ngokulingana ngeempawu zezulu nekhangela yezixhobo. Xa isistimu inquma iingcinga ezingcono, iyayishintsha indlela efakwa ngayo amanzi ukuze ibophelele imisebenzi emikhulu. Amakhampuwe ayihlanganisa le ndlela aziphumela zihle kuzinto ezizayo ngelixa esebenza ziya kufinyelela kwizibuko zesimilo esihle kwaye yenza ukuba sisebenzise ngokunciphisa umkhondo wesiqu esitsidanga.
Abakhi abaningi endaweni yonke bayehlukahluka ngokushisa xa kufanele bahlule amahhala ezenzulwane ngaphandle kokuphazamisa imisebenzi engavamile. Bheka okuthi kusenzekile emgcotini: ngokweminyango yakamuva ye-EIA, izindleko zezenzo lezoliko zakhala kabusha nge-22 iphasenthi ukusukela ku-2020. Kanti simemeza futhi lezindleko ezikhulu zokungatholi kwezoliko. U-Deloitte uyayibiza ngelizwi lokhu, kodwa ngalinye izingxenye zithola izimali ezingu- $200k ngokuphelele. Ngalesi zinombolo, izindawo eziningi ziyashintsha inkqubo yazo kuze kube yilapho izixhumanisi ze-solar kunye nesitshalo siyakwenzeka into engakwenzeki. Uma izinkampani zifaka lezi zixhumaniso, zihlanganisa njengoba zazingafundanga ngendlela ethile. Zingakhetha ukubona njengoko yinto eyodwa kuphela ekhokhelwayo, kodwa ziqhubeka ngokuzilondoloza njengalunye ulwazi olunjalo lomnotho. Lokhu kuvula amadoda kumasebenzi enzima yokunciphisa izindleko, ukuphatha kahle izikhampani zezinsiza, kanye nokuthi kungaba khona indlela yokusebenza ngendlela ephambili uma kuhlukile kwe-grid noma kuneziphazimandaba.
Ukudibaniswa kwezimali ezakhelwa kwi-demand nezimo ezingavunyelwa zomnotho kuyakhuthaza izinkampani ukuya kuzinyathelo ezintsha. Ngokwesicwangciso esibheka amazigaba angu-45 ezenhlokweni eledini elandelayo, abasebenzi basezindaweni ezigcwele kakhulu bazobuyisela imali yabo ngokushesha kakhulu - phakathi kwe-18 kusuka ku-34% - uma basebenzisa izithuthi zophakathi nesilisa, kunalokho kuba benzeke ngokuphakanyisana kuphela. Bheka imininingwane ekhulayo kwiCalifornian Self-Generation Incentive Program. Amaphaktori e-California ethole isilisa se-solar nesibhamu somnqoba sengxenye engu-four hour sabephazima imali yazo yokuthenga i-electricity ngemihla ngaphezu kwezintathu zika-2 kunalokho kungena ngokuphelele kwi-grid yezokusebenza.
Ibhatere nika usizo ekukhawuleni lezi zindlela ezikhokhelayo xa izinkampani ziyakhokha izindleko. Ngokomzekelo, le siminyaka yemifanekiso yemithi eTexas yetholile ukuthola okungenani kwe-$58k ngayinyanga ngokudlulisela isayizi ya-2.1 megawatt yesolari nesikhathi se-800 kilowatt ibhatere. Isistemu sengena kusheshako okuphakade kwe-92% kwezimali zakho eziphakade kakhulu awaye kumkhombandlela wasegridi ngexesha eliphelele. Abantu abalibala ngokulandela izindleko zexesha lokusebenzisa bafuna ukuthola izindleko eziphakathi kwe-27% kunabantu abathintelwe kumphetho wezindleko ezigcwele ngokwesicwangciso sikaNREL ngo-2023. Kuyasanda kahle, ngoba ukugcina amandla xa kuncane futhi ukuyisebenzisa emva kakhulu xa izindleko ziye zakhula kusenza kube khona imali ekugcinwa phakade.
Isiminyaka esinikezela izinto zokudla Ohio sithole ukuphila kwangaphandle komkhombandlela ngokuhlukaniswa kwezolari-nebathe:
| METRIC | Ngaphambi kokuqeqeshwa | Ngemva kokuqeqeshwa | Ukuthuthukiswa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukusetshenziswa Komkhombandlela | 1.8M kWh/inyanga | 240k kWh/inyanga | -87% |
| Imizuzwana Yokufaka Izindleko | 22/nginyanga | 3/nginyanga | -86% |
| Ukusebenzisa Kwe-Diesel Backup | amasu-180/ngonyaka | amasu-12/ngonyaka | -93% |
Ukulandela kwe-$2.7M kukubambelela $411,000 ezimali ezivuselelwa ngonyaka, ngenkathi iphumala eminyakeni engu-6.6 kanye nokukhathalela kwesikhathi esingama-48.
Ukuphatha kwezenzo eziphepha kuyenzela ukulungiswa okuthekwini kwebumba-lwazi nesilisa ngokulandelana:
Amakhanda akugcina kwe-solar aqhubeka ekusebenzeni ngenkathi kuhlukile inketho—kubaluleke kakhulu amathuluzi afuna ukulungiswa kwe-ISO 50001 noma uhlelo oluphindezelayo. Isahluko se-DOE sabona ukuthi izinqumo ezinamandla okuhluka kuzokwelapha zihlinza iziphoko ezingama-94 kunazo zonke izinqumo ezidependent kwe-grid. Izisombululo ze-battery ezingenhlwane zange zibheke kakhulu, zivumela abayikhiwa ukungeza i-blocks ezingama-250 kWh njengoba kudingeka, ukuqinisekisa ukuba kudingeka ngokudala futhi nokuzimela.